Re TS Fay, I just haven't been in the mood to track a rainmaker, however this one is turning out to be a fascinating storm system. As of the 5:00 pm EDT Discussion National Hurricane Center forecaster Lixion Avila reports that Fay did not weaken over land as anticipated and it is stronger than it has been so far, prompting a significant change in its intensity forecast. The good doctor Jeff Masters (who is calling this storm "The Joker" because of it's consistent trickiness) has a great blog post today on Fay's latest morph here - and be sure and visit for a view of a NASA blue marble image of Fay with a distinct eyewall over land. This may be an unprecedented ocurrance. It is certainly rare for a storm to intensify and develop an eye wall over a land mass. The computer models are in better agreement that Fay will re-enter the Atlantic, intensify and then encounter a ridge of high pressure that will force Fay westward over
northern Florida or southern Georgia, and possibly back into the northern of Gulf of Mexico. wow.

NASA image by Jesse Allen, using data provided courtesy of the MODIS Rapid Response team at NASA/GSFC.
Summary from NASA Earth Observatory: Tropical Storm Fay became the sixth named storm system
of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season after forming over the Dominican
Republic on August 15. The storm system traveled the length of
Hispaniola, bringing heavy rains and winds to the Dominican Republic
and Haiti before traveling along Cuba’s southern coast. The Associated
Press reported five deaths caused by the storm on Hispaniola as of
August 18.
This photo-like image was made from data collected by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra
satellite captured this image of the storm at 10:35 a.m. local time
(15:35 UTC) on August 18. Fay had crossed through central Cuba and was
most of the way across the Florida Straits when MODIS obtained these
data. The storm system appears as an organized ball of spiraling
clouds, but it lacks the central eye usually associated with a
hurricane. The National Hurricane Center was reporting sustained winds
in the storm system of 95 kilometers per hour (60 miles per hour).
Tides were around two to four feet higher than normal from storm surge,
and rainfall totals of four to eight inches (ten to twenty centimeters)
were predicted for central Cuba.
As of 5:00 p.m. (Eastern Daylight Time) August 18, forecasts called
for the storm to reach Category 1 strength as it traveled from the Keys
towards the west coast of Florida, then lose strength as it moved
inland. The National Hurricane Center
issued hurricane warnings throughout much of southern Florida and
tropical storm warnings elsewhere in the state, as forecasters expected
the storm to gain power as it moved across the Straits of Florida
between Cuba and the Florida Keys. Emergency officials encouraged local
residents and visitors in the Keys to leave ahead of the storm.
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